GTLD Predictions - The wisdom of the crowd

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This is a "wisdom of crowds" exercise in which ICANN community members take a SWAG at 4 questions with the goal of seeing what the community thinks as a whole:

  • Question 1) How many total new TLD applications will there be in this round?
  • Question 2) What % of applications will be targeted at a geographical location?
  • Question 3) What % of applications will be "community" vs. "open"?
  • Question 4) What is the first date on which anyone will be allowed to submit an application?

Note: The idea is for people to enter their own guesses on this page, but if the wiki formatting is tough, please just send an e-mail with your 4 answers to ray [at] aboutus.org and I will get them into the table.

Prize: Person who guess closest in each of the 4 areas will win a special mural by Rhoda and one millionth of the actual application fees ($92.50 at 500 applications)! Prize generously sponsored by Skenzo.


GTLD Wisdom from ICANN Community Members
Person Total Applications % Geographical % Community Date for first app
ICANN 500  ?  ?  ?
Ray King 175 25% 10% 9/10/09
Dan Mendell 178  ?  ? 9/20/09
Chuck Kisselburg 200  ?  ?  ?
John Berryhill 50 10% 40%  ?
Darshaun Nadeau 200 40% 10%  ?
Ron Andruff 75 50% 25%  ?
Mason Cole 160 12% 10%  ?
Jon Nevett 250 10% 10%  ?
Dirk Krischenowski 60 10% 30%  ?
Mike O'Connor 572 14% 14% 11/1/09
Dan Frechtling 573 20% 25% 9/1/09
Terry Davis 450 2% 15% 10/23/09
Chuck Gomes 400 20% 10% 7/15/09
Margie Milam 525 10% 45% 11/1/09
Michael Palage 199 7% 50% 11/2/09
Leona Chen 98 30% 30% 10/30/09
Dorothy Billman 70 60% 25% 8/15/09
Pablo Rodriguez 97 35% 20% 9/1/09
Jordi Aguila 201 30% 40%  ?
Khaled Fattal 275 20% 65% 10/12/09
Steve Kelley 276 17% 35% 8/1/09
Loren Belman 485 36% 19% 9/14/09
Antony Van Couvering 175 30% 35% 11/1/09
Brian Cute 500 25% 34% 3/17/10
Ray Fassett 150 15% 15% 11/1/09
Oliver Sueme 60 50% 50% 11/1/09
Jean-Christophe Vignes 250 31% 66% 8/10/09
David Taylor 369 3% 82% 9/29/09 *
Jan Corstens 666 15% 65% 11/1/09
Sarah Taylor 545 10% 76% 9/29/09 *
Bart Lieben 265 36% 75% 6/9/09
Sebastian Bachollet 178 18% 18% 2/13/10 *
Nathalie Dreyfus 600 7% 20% 7/30/09
Hakon Haugnes 300 25% 25% 12/1/09
Bhavin Turakhia 333 30% 25% 11/3/09


Contents

[edit] Generic TLD's that might be applied for (alphabetical)

Please feel free to add any that you've heard of contemplated to the list

  • .bank
  • .blog
  • .cal
  • .car
  • .corp
  • .game
  • .gay
  • .gmbh
  • .green
  • .health
  • .inc
  • .ltd
  • .mail
  • .music
  • .mp3
  • .sport
  • .web
  • .wiki

[edit] Corporate TLDs

  • .ebay
  • .facebook
  • .google
  • .IBM
  • .mac

[edit] Geographical TLD's that might be applied for

  • .arab
  • .berlin
  • .cym
  • .gal
  • .hamburg
  • .karachi
  • .lat
  • .mumbai
  • .NYC
  • .paris
  • .pdx
  • .quebec
  • .seattle
  • .tokyo
  • .rome

[edit] IDN TLD's

  • every country with an alphabet other than the English alphabet
  • oesterreich

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