GTLD Predictions - The wisdom of the crowd
This is a "wisdom of crowds" exercise in which ICANN community members take a SWAG at 4 questions with the goal of seeing what the community thinks as a whole:
- Question 1) How many total new TLD applications will there be in this round?
- Question 2) What % of applications will be targeted at a geographical location?
- Question 3) What % of applications will be "community" vs. "open"?
- Question 4) What is the first date on which anyone will be allowed to submit an application?
Note: The idea is for people to enter their own guesses on this page, but if the wiki formatting is tough, please just send an e-mail with your 4 answers to ray [at] aboutus.org and I will get them into the table.
Prize: Person who guess closest in each of the 4 areas will win a special mural by Rhoda and one millionth of the actual application fees ($92.50 at 500 applications)! Prize generously sponsored by Skenzo.
| Person | Total Applications | % Geographical | % Community | Date for first app |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ICANN | 500 | ? | ? | ? |
| Ray King | 175 | 25% | 10% | 9/10/09 |
| Dan Mendell | 178 | ? | ? | 9/20/09 |
| Chuck Kisselburg | 200 | ? | ? | ? |
| John Berryhill | 50 | 10% | 40% | ? |
| Darshaun Nadeau | 200 | 40% | 10% | ? |
| Ron Andruff | 75 | 50% | 25% | ? |
| Mason Cole | 160 | 12% | 10% | ? |
| Jon Nevett | 250 | 10% | 10% | ? |
| Dirk Krischenowski | 60 | 10% | 30% | ? |
| Mike O'Connor | 572 | 14% | 14% | 11/1/09 |
| Dan Frechtling | 573 | 20% | 25% | 9/1/09 |
| Terry Davis | 450 | 2% | 15% | 10/23/09 |
| Chuck Gomes | 400 | 20% | 10% | 7/15/09 |
| Margie Milam | 525 | 10% | 45% | 11/1/09 |
| Michael Palage | 199 | 7% | 50% | 11/2/09 |
| Leona Chen | 98 | 30% | 30% | 10/30/09 |
| Dorothy Billman | 70 | 60% | 25% | 8/15/09 |
| Pablo Rodriguez | 97 | 35% | 20% | 9/1/09 |
| Jordi Aguila | 201 | 30% | 40% | ? |
| Khaled Fattal | 275 | 20% | 65% | 10/12/09 |
| Steve Kelley | 276 | 17% | 35% | 8/1/09 |
| Loren Belman | 485 | 36% | 19% | 9/14/09 |
| Antony Van Couvering | 175 | 30% | 35% | 11/1/09 |
| Brian Cute | 500 | 25% | 34% | 3/17/10 |
| Ray Fassett | 150 | 15% | 15% | 11/1/09 |
| Oliver Sueme | 60 | 50% | 50% | 11/1/09 |
| Jean-Christophe Vignes | 250 | 31% | 66% | 8/10/09 |
| David Taylor | 369 | 3% | 82% | 9/29/09 * |
| Jan Corstens | 666 | 15% | 65% | 11/1/09 |
| Sarah Taylor | 545 | 10% | 76% | 9/29/09 * |
| Bart Lieben | 265 | 36% | 75% | 6/9/09 |
| Sebastian Bachollet | 178 | 18% | 18% | 2/13/10 * |
| Nathalie Dreyfus | 600 | 7% | 20% | 7/30/09 |
| Hakon Haugnes | 300 | 25% | 25% | 12/1/09 |
| Bhavin Turakhia | 333 | 30% | 25% | 11/3/09 |
Contents |
[edit] Generic TLD's that might be applied for (alphabetical)
Please feel free to add any that you've heard of contemplated to the list
- .bank
- .blog
- .cal
- .car
- .corp
- .game
- .gay
- .gmbh
- .green
- .health
- .inc
- .ltd
- .music
- .mp3
- .sport
- .web
- .wiki
[edit] Corporate TLDs
- .ebay
- .IBM
- .mac
[edit] Geographical TLD's that might be applied for
- .arab
- .berlin
- .cym
- .gal
- .hamburg
- .karachi
- .lat
- .mumbai
- .NYC
- .paris
- .pdx
- .quebec
- .seattle
- .tokyo
- .rome
[edit] IDN TLD's
- every country with an alphabet other than the English alphabet
- oesterreich
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